Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 21.767410 24.670408 27.838113 31.554760 35.800564 40.504844 46.119579
2025-02-02 17.849243 21.862985 26.612844 32.663815 40.189850 49.271580 61.105889
2025-02-09 14.804041 19.341917 25.088207 32.933926 43.422940 57.039758 76.183575
2025-02-16 12.258173 16.912060 23.152961 32.193174 45.052778 62.836984 89.553010
2025-02-23 10.414994 15.064038 21.617219 31.614399 46.634296 68.603881 103.620086
2025-03-02 9.033831 13.623775 20.386234 31.190598 48.238985 74.469011 118.584599
2025-03-09 8.031044 12.578086 19.551591 31.172705 50.352571 81.268795 135.921881
2025-03-16 7.189413 11.653641 18.755090 31.055021 52.211734 87.814011 153.733203
2025-03-23 6.727916 11.268731 18.748742 32.193075 56.257683 98.475444 180.245380
2025-03-30 6.155955 10.621637 18.215110 32.332476 58.540728 106.315022 202.783335
2025-04-06 5.523067 9.790293 17.258961 31.579680 59.069845 110.979560 219.915183
2025-04-13 5.011659 9.113248 16.491060 31.058741 59.929252 116.316323 239.111403
2025-04-20 4.752367 8.881055 16.528780 32.114099 64.084415 128.852870 275.705997
2025-04-27 4.565165 8.763873 16.769839 33.603884 69.339258 144.427509 321.705704
2025-05-04 4.274139 8.411656 16.515236 34.057030 72.502800 156.092456 361.085130
2025-05-11 3.895575 7.842113 15.762943 33.371335 73.110915 162.274760 388.761097
2025-05-18 3.571582 7.348079 15.108228 32.808517 73.906351 168.981156 418.912920
2025-05-25 3.295149 6.923290 14.550273 32.385847 74.957676 176.424881 452.278572
2025-06-01 3.081519 6.609746 14.195078 32.375859 76.976852 186.482454 494.351933
2025-06-08 2.879702 6.300439 13.814762 32.257469 78.712523 196.092766 537.037678
2025-06-15 2.791146 6.234873 13.972732 33.444292 83.879088 215.251267 610.300976
2025-06-22 2.636588 6.001764 13.720241 33.590411 86.388118 227.806248 666.861370
2025-06-29 2.435760 5.640069 13.127839 32.807063 86.327183 233.380165 703.487390